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In addition to having at least some self-awareness, Lupo — whose expertise is climate variability in the jet stream and snowfall in the Midwest — isn't beholden to fossil-fuel interests, like some of his fellow skeptics. ExxonMobil, for instance, has spent a reported $16 million funding climate studies over the years. In 2005, a Colorado utility, the Intermountain Rural Electric Association, organized a collection drive for Patrick J. Michaels, the former state climatologist of Virginia and author of books with such titles as Meltdown: The Predictable Distortion of Global Warming by Scientists, Politicians, and the Media. Michaels appeared at a recent skeptic conference in New York. Speaking to The Washington Post, the head of Clean Air Watch called the meeting "the climate equivalent of Custer's Last Stand."
Lupo, who did not attend the event, sees it a different way, chafing a bit when I use the term "holdouts" to describe the skeptics at the conference."Obviously, it's going to look like that," he says. "But there were some pretty high-powered folks there, at least from the atmospheric-sciences realm."
As for the Nobel Prize, Lupo doesn't think it's so ironic for someone like him to claim a tiny fraction of the award. Admitting that people on his side tend to deride the climate-change panel, Lupo also notes that he's not the only panel member who is reluctant to blame SUVs and smokestacks for climate irregularities. "It's not a monolith," he says.
Perhaps not. But it's doubtful that many of the 2,500 people who reviewed the panel's most recent report have talked up the benefits of global warming. "In the last 10, 15 years, Columbia's probably become a more ideal place to live," Lupo told the Daily Tribune last year.
Fine for Lupo. Probably not so much for an African who relies on rain-fed agriculture or a polar bear watching sea ice disappear.